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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
0 - 2
Luton


Obafemi (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Luton Town

Following Tuesday's disappointing result, Swansea will head into the weekend looking to deliver an immediate response. The Swans take on a floundering Luton Town side who are yet to find their feet this season and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
37.9% (4.661 4.66) 27.18% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.91% (-4.299 -4.3)
Both teams to score 50.26% (1.389 1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (1.623 1.62)55.15% (-1.627 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (1.319 1.32)76.4% (-1.323 -1.32)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (3.725 3.73)28.19% (-3.728 -3.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (4.483 4.48)63.88% (-4.485 -4.48)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-1.792 -1.79)30.01% (1.789 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-2.214 -2.21)66.13% (2.211 2.21)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.9%
    Luton Town 34.91%
    Draw 27.18%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.733 0.73)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.908 0.91)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.617 0.62)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.627 0.63)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.285 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.283 0.28)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 37.9%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.547 -0.55)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-1.21 -1.21)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-1.081 -1.08)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Luton

Swansea City
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Luton Town
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Luton
Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')
Jun 27, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds23146343152848
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd23155332131948
3Burnley2313823092147
4Sunderland23128336201644
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2211562720738
6Watford2211473229337
7Middlesbrough23106741311036
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2381142718935
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds239683133-233
10Swansea CitySwansea238692724330
11Bristol City237972728-130
12Norwich CityNorwich237883935429
13Millwall227782220228
14Derby CountyDerby2376102929027
15Coventry CityCoventry2376103234-227
16Preston North EndPreston2351172329-626
17Queens Park RangersQPR2351082331-825
18Luton TownLuton2374122539-1425
19Stoke CityStoke2357112332-922
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2256112439-1521
21Portsmouth214892637-1120
22Hull City2347122132-1119
23Cardiff CityCardiff2246122137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2246122249-2718


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