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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Goutas (78')
Meite (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Millwall

After a morale-boosting draw last time out, Edwards will hope that his Millwall side can now kick on. However, we feel that Cardiff will get back to winning ways in front of their own supporters, possibly having to come from behind to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
40.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 27.7% (-0.023 -0.02) 32.18% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (0.102 0.1)57.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)78.33% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.116 0.12)33.04% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.126 0.13)69.64% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 40.12%
    Millwall 32.17%
    Draw 27.69%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Millwall
2-1
Cardiff
Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
Bagan (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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