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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Goutas (78')
Meite (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Millwall

After a morale-boosting draw last time out, Edwards will hope that his Millwall side can now kick on. However, we feel that Cardiff will get back to winning ways in front of their own supporters, possibly having to come from behind to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
40.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 27.7% (-0.023 -0.02) 32.18% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (0.102 0.1)57.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)78.33% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.116 0.12)33.04% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.126 0.13)69.64% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 40.12%
    Millwall 32.17%
    Draw 27.69%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Millwall
2-1
Cardiff
Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
Bagan (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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