Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
0 - 1
Cardiff

Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 2-1 Cardiff City

With Dennis and Rajovic raring to do some damage from the start, Watford should be confident of exploiting a leaky Cardiff backline this weekend. The Bluebirds will be boosted by the return of Ramsey to the matchday squad, but we believe that the introduction of the Welsh legend will not be enough to prevent a win for the hosts at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Cardiff City
52.14% ( 0.01)	24.36% ( -0.16)	23.5% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57% (

0.78)

49.43% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53% (

0.7)

71.47% (

-0.7)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

0.3)

18.93% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56% (

0.51)

50.44% (

-0.51)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

0.56)

35.59% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

0.57)

72.36% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Watford 52.13%

Cardiff City 23.5%

Draw 24.36%

Watford	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.13%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.5%