Championship | Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby0 - 2Reading
The Match
Match Report
Goals from Lucas Joao and Ovie Eljaria secured victory for the new Royals boss at Pride Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Derby County and Reading, including team news and injury news.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Reading |
| 41.38% | 25.61% | 33.01% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% | 48.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% | 71.07% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% | 23.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.49% | 57.51% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% | 28.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.12% | 63.87% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 41.38%
Reading 33.01%
Draw 25.61%
| Derby County | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.01% |
