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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Sunderland

Ipswich
2 - 1
Sunderland

Jackson (33'), Chaplin (75')
Clarke (24'), Taylor (52'), Edmundson (54'), Burns (60'), Sarmiento (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (26')
Ba (55'), Hume (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Ipswich
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Sunderland

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, January 6 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland

 Sunderland showed against Newcastle that they are far from the finished article under Beale and this is a fixture that they could probably do without after such a humbling. Despite Ipswich's recent form, the home side could have enough about them to get over the line in this one, kick-starting their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
43.17% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06) 23.69% (-0.035 -0.04) 33.14% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.211 0.21)40.16% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.217 0.22)62.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.064999999999998 0.06)18.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (0.102 0.1)50.42% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.158 0.16)23.86% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.222 0.22)58.04% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 43.17%
    Sunderland 33.14%
    Draw 23.68%
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.17%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Sunderland

Ipswich Town
69.6%
Draw
10.9%
Sunderland
19.6%
46
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 1
Sunderland
1-2
Ipswich
Neill (86')
Mowbray (0'), Hume (32'), Ballard (80')
Hume (72')
Broadhead (45+1'), Hirst (53')
McKenna (33'), Burns (35'), Hladky (56'), Morsy (62')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ipswich
1-1
Sunderland
Norwood (45+1')
Burns (68')
Broadhead (50')
Winchester (52'), Flanagan (60'), Stewart (62')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Sunderland
2-0
Ipswich
O'Nien (85'), McGeady (90+3' pen.)
Evans (20'), Gooch (34'), Stewart (64'), Winchester (81')

Celina (55')
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
0-1
Sunderland

Ward (70'), Dozzell (82')
Jackson (10')
Wyke (45+1')
Winchester (40')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
2-1
Ipswich
Wyke (8'), Leadbitter (84' pen.)
Leadbitter (78'), Hume (82')
Lankester (38')
McGuinness (84')
Dozzell (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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