Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 0
Leeds

Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United are full of momentum under Daniel Farke and will be keen to avoid any more slip-ups in their pursuit of a top-two place, but a trip to the Stadium of Light is no easy task, and we fancy a rejuvenated Black Cats side to take a share of the spoils in Tuesday's top-six clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Leeds United
39.55% ( -0.3)	23.7% ( 0.05)	36.75% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 62.57% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.58% (

-0.21)

39.41% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.24% (

-0.23)

61.75% (

0.22)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78% (

-0.23)

20.22% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46% (

-0.37)

52.53% (

0.37)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

0.03)

21.57% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.34% (

0.05)

54.65% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 39.55%

Leeds United 36.75%

Draw 23.7%

Sunderland	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.55%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.75%