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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
1 - 0
Leeds

Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United are full of momentum under Daniel Farke and will be keen to avoid any more slip-ups in their pursuit of a top-two place, but a trip to the Stadium of Light is no easy task, and we fancy a rejuvenated Black Cats side to take a share of the spoils in Tuesday's top-six clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
39.55% (-0.299 -0.3) 23.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 36.75% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 62.57% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)39.41% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (-0.225 -0.23)61.75% (0.223 0.22)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.229 -0.23)20.22% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.37 -0.37)52.53% (0.369 0.37)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.57% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.045000000000002 0.05)54.65% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 39.55%
    Leeds United 36.75%
    Draw 23.7%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
22.2%
Draw
17.5%
Leeds United
60.3%
63
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Leeds
0-3
Sunderland

Westlake (16'), Butler (21'), Nicholls (73'), Kelly (90'), Douglas (90')
Miller (28'), Kavanagh (45')
Kavanagh (7'), Miller (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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