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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Ipswich
2 - 2
Norwich

Broadhead (34'), Burns (60')
Burns (77'), Woolfenden (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rowe (40', 49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Norwich City

Saturday afternoon will provide Ipswich with their best opportunity to beat Norwich since that glorious day in 2009, although we cannot envisage the East Anglian derby being light work for the Tractor Boys despite their lofty league position. The Canaries might have to swallow their pride and try to grind out a result on the weekend, but regardless, we expect that their long-standing unbeaten spell in this fixture will come to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawNorwich City
54.85% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 21.63% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 23.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.44% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)37.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)59.43% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)13.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)40.73% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)28.88% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)64.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 54.85%
    Norwich City 23.51%
    Draw 21.63%
Ipswich TownDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.51%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Norwich

Ipswich Town
74.5%
Draw
3.6%
Norwich City
21.8%
55
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 31
Norwich
3-0
Ipswich
Hernandez (2'), Pukki (65', 80')
Lewis (60'), Trybull (76'), Stiepermann (79'), Cantwell (90')

Skuse (32'), Nolan (45'), Downes (90')
Sep 2, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 6
Ipswich
1-1
Norwich
Edwards (57')
Chambers (26'), Graham (42')
Leitner (71')
Godfrey (49')
Feb 18, 2018 12pm
Norwich
1-1
Ipswich
Klose (90')
Leitner (58')
Chambers (89')
Garner (55'), Skuse (65'), Connolly (67'), Waghorn (80'), Spence (82')
Oct 22, 2017 12pm
Feb 26, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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