Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
2 - 2
Norwich

Broadhead (34'), Burns (60')
Burns (77'), Woolfenden (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rowe (40', 49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Norwich City

Saturday afternoon will provide Ipswich with their best opportunity to beat Norwich since that glorious day in 2009, although we cannot envisage the East Anglian derby being light work for the Tractor Boys despite their lofty league position. The Canaries might have to swallow their pride and try to grind out a result on the weekend, but regardless, we expect that their long-standing unbeaten spell in this fixture will come to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Norwich City
54.85% ( -0.03)	21.63% ( 0.02)	23.51% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.44% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.77% (

-0.09)

37.22% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.57% (

-0.09)

59.43% (

0.09)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.39% (

-0.04)

13.6% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.26% (

-0.08)

40.73% (

0.08)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.04)

28.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

-0.05)

64.75% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 54.85%

Norwich City 23.51%

Draw 21.63%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.85%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.63%	1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 23.51%