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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds

Rigg (9'), Firpo (90+7' og.)
Bellingham (46'), Neill (61'), Rigg (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Piroe (22'), Firpo (56')
Rodon (39'), Firpo (68'), Bogle (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Leeds
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

The quick turnaround brings around a certain level of uncertainty with both managers likely to be tempted with some rotation. However, combined with their respective form, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
24.58% (0.671 0.67) 24.03% (0.516 0.52) 51.39% (-1.195 -1.2)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.945 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (-1.603 -1.6)47.02% (1.595 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-1.516 -1.52)69.26% (1.506 1.51)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (-0.3 -0.3)33.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (-0.328 -0.33)69.95% (0.31899999999999 0.32)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-1.053 -1.05)18.3% (1.044 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (-1.812 -1.81)49.38% (1.802 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 24.58%
    Leeds United 51.38%
    Draw 24.03%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.68% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.38%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
43.7%
Draw
30.7%
Leeds United
25.6%
199
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
0-0
Sunderland
Kamara (70'), Firpo (70')
Ballard (21'), O'Nien (46'), Rigg (57'), Bellingham (62')
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Sunderland
1-0
Leeds
Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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