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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds

Rigg (9'), Firpo (90+7' og.)
Bellingham (46'), Neill (61'), Rigg (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Piroe (22'), Firpo (56')
Rodon (39'), Firpo (68'), Bogle (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Leeds
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

The quick turnaround brings around a certain level of uncertainty with both managers likely to be tempted with some rotation. However, combined with their respective form, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
24.58% (0.671 0.67) 24.03% (0.516 0.52) 51.39% (-1.195 -1.2)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.945 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (-1.603 -1.6)47.02% (1.595 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-1.516 -1.52)69.26% (1.506 1.51)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (-0.3 -0.3)33.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (-0.328 -0.33)69.95% (0.31899999999999 0.32)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-1.053 -1.05)18.3% (1.044 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (-1.812 -1.81)49.38% (1.802 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 24.58%
    Leeds United 51.38%
    Draw 24.03%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.68% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.38%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
43.7%
Draw
30.7%
Leeds United
25.6%
199
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
0-0
Sunderland
Kamara (70'), Firpo (70')
Ballard (21'), O'Nien (46'), Rigg (57'), Bellingham (62')
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Sunderland
1-0
Leeds
Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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