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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
24.58% ( 0.67) | 24.03% ( 0.52) | 51.39% ( -1.2) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.98% ( -1.6) | 47.02% ( 1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.73% ( -1.52) | 69.26% ( 1.51) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.67% ( -0.3) | 33.33% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.05% ( -0.33) | 69.95% ( 0.32) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.69% ( -1.05) | 18.3% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.61% ( -1.81) | 49.38% ( 1.8) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.58% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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