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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
QPR logo

Leeds
1 - 0
QPR

FT(HT: 1-0)

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Coventry
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

After a disappointing defeat at the weekend, Leeds United will be keen to bounce back quickly, and with home advantage at Elland Road and superior quality all over the pitch, they should have more than enough to take all three points in relatively comfortable fashion on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
56.81% (2.944 2.94) 22.91% (-0.273 -0.27) 20.28% (-2.669 -2.67)
Both teams to score 52.45% (-2.884 -2.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (-2.004 -2)46.97% (2.003 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (-1.898 -1.9)69.22% (1.897 1.9)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (0.31599999999999 0.32)16.31% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (0.569 0.57)45.89% (-0.569 -0.57)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-3.698 -3.7)37.33% (3.696 3.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-3.831 -3.83)74.12% (3.833 3.83)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 56.81%
    Queens Park Rangers 20.28%
    Draw 22.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.04% (1.01 1.01)
2-0 @ 10.01% (1.009 1.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.05% (0.668 0.67)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.258 -0.26)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.328 0.33)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 56.81%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.497 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.483 -0.48)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 6% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.596 -0.6)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.345 -0.35)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 20.28%

How you voted: Leeds vs QPR

Leeds United
80.4%
Draw
8.7%
Queens Park Rangers
10.9%
46
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
Jan 6, 2019 2pm
Third Round
QPR
2-1
Leeds
Oteh (23' pen.), Bidwell (75')
Furlong (72'), Kakay (90')
Halme (25')
Halme (20'), Alioski (84'), Baker (88')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
2-1
QPR
Roofe (45', 53' pen.)
Klich (33'), Phillips (63')
Wells (26')
Scowen (46'), Leistner (52'), Rangel (76'), Lynch (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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