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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
56.81% ( 2.94) | 22.91% ( -0.27) | 20.28% ( -2.67) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( -2.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( -2) | 46.97% ( 2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.78% ( -1.9) | 69.22% ( 1.9) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( 0.32) | 16.31% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.11% ( 0.57) | 45.89% ( -0.57) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% ( -3.7) | 37.33% ( 3.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.88% ( -3.83) | 74.12% ( 3.83) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 1.01) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 1.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.48) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.24) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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