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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Leeds logo

QPR
4 - 0
Leeds

Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-4 Leeds
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-3 Leeds United

Although the shorter recovery time could have a detrimental effect on Leeds, the manner of their win at Boro may have turned the tide in their favour. QPR are likely to push Leeds for large spells of this contest, yet we are backing the visitors to run out victors at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.11%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
23.69% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 23.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 53.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)44.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)66.61% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)16.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)46.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 23.69%
    Leeds United 53.11%
    Draw 23.18%
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.11%

How you voted: QPR vs Leeds

Queens Park Rangers
26.5%
Draw
13.2%
Leeds United
60.3%
219
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
Jan 6, 2019 2pm
Third Round
QPR
2-1
Leeds
Oteh (23' pen.), Bidwell (75')
Furlong (72'), Kakay (90')
Halme (25')
Halme (20'), Alioski (84'), Baker (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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