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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Leeds logo

Norwich
2 - 3
Leeds

Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Saturday certainly presents a tough trip for Leeds United, but the Whites appear to be gaining momentum under their new manager while their hosts have struggled for consistency after a strong start, and we fancy Farke to come out on top on his Carrow Road return this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
43.08%24.84% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.21%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.3%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.69%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.08%
    Leeds United 32.08%
    Draw 24.83%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Norwich vs Leeds

Norwich City
32.0%
Draw
24.0%
Leeds United
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
1-2
Leeds
Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')
Feb 2, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Leeds
1-3
Norwich
Bamford (91')
Roberts (52'), Roofe (65'), Alioski (74')
Vrancic (5', 78'), Pukki (35')
Krul (26'), Stiepermann (83')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
0-3
Leeds

Trybull (50')
Klich (21'), Alioski (26'), Hernandez (67')
Ayling (62'), Berardi (90')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Leeds
Hoolahan (45'), Murphy (70')
Hanley (33')
Phillips (39')
Pennington (43'), Jansson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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