We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United
Saturday certainly presents a tough trip for Leeds United, but the Whites appear to be gaining momentum under their new manager while their hosts have struggled for consistency after a strong start, and we fancy Farke to come out on top on his Carrow Road return this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.