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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Birmingham logo

Leicester
2 - 1
Birmingham

Dewsbury-Hall (28'), Mavididi (87')
Faes (34'), Mavididi (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stansfield (45')
James (19'), Bielik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Preston
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Birmingham City

Leicester cannot afford any more unexpected slip-ups in the automatic promotion race, with Saturday's clash against Birmingham a good chance to earn maximum points. Blues will be more confident heading to the King Power following the Preston success, but we are still expecting the Foxes to come out on top in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
71% (0.57599999999999 0.58) 17.28% (-0.23 -0.23) 11.72% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (0.16699999999999 0.17)38.25% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.175 0.18)60.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.181 0.18)9.57% (-0.1811 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (0.423 0.42)32.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86% (-0.466 -0.47)43.14% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.59% (-0.395 -0.4)79.41% (0.396 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 70.99%
    Birmingham City 11.72%
    Draw 17.28%
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 11.36% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.89% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.22% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.45% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 70.99%
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.47% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 11.72%

How you voted: Leicester vs Birmingham

Leicester City
84.4%
Draw
6.3%
Birmingham City
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Leicester
3-0
Birmingham
Vardy (47'), Akgun (72'), Praet (88')

Roberts (65'), Roberts (77')
Dec 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
James (14', 74')
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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