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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Birmingham logo

Leicester
2 - 1
Birmingham

Dewsbury-Hall (28'), Mavididi (87')
Faes (34'), Mavididi (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stansfield (45')
James (19'), Bielik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Preston
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Birmingham City

Leicester cannot afford any more unexpected slip-ups in the automatic promotion race, with Saturday's clash against Birmingham a good chance to earn maximum points. Blues will be more confident heading to the King Power following the Preston success, but we are still expecting the Foxes to come out on top in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
71% (0.57599999999999 0.58) 17.28% (-0.23 -0.23) 11.72% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (0.16699999999999 0.17)38.25% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.175 0.18)60.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.181 0.18)9.57% (-0.1811 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (0.423 0.42)32.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86% (-0.466 -0.47)43.14% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.59% (-0.395 -0.4)79.41% (0.396 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 70.99%
    Birmingham City 11.72%
    Draw 17.28%
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 11.36% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.89% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.22% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.45% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 70.99%
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.47% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 11.72%

How you voted: Leicester vs Birmingham

Leicester City
84.4%
Draw
6.3%
Birmingham City
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Leicester
3-0
Birmingham
Vardy (47'), Akgun (72'), Praet (88')

Roberts (65'), Roberts (77')
Dec 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
James (14', 74')
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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