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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Norwich City |
63.44% ( -0.53) | 19.71% ( 0.06) | 16.85% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.01% ( 0.63) | 37.98% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.75% ( 0.67) | 60.25% ( -0.67) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.61% ( 0.05) | 11.39% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.86% ( 0.1) | 36.13% ( -0.1) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.22% ( 0.95) | 35.78% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.44% ( 0.96) | 72.55% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.29% Total : 63.44% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
4 | Burnley | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Millwall | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
7 | Watford | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Bristol City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
18 | Hull City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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