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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
King Power Stadium
Norwich logo

Leicester
3 - 1
Norwich

Dewsbury-Hall (33'), Mavididi (61'), Vardy (90+3')
Vestergaard (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sara (20')
Duffy (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-2 Norwich City

Leicester were not without their chances in Friday's excruciating loss to Bristol City - Vardy had simply left his best shooting boots in the locker room - and the Foxes now come up against a Norwich side whose performance on the road has left a lot to be desired all season long. Wagner's men are in a good moment attacking wise, though, and the Canaries evidently have the resources to trouble the out-of-sorts hosts from dead ball situations, so we anticipate a share of the spoils in an entertaining draw between these two Premier League hopefuls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
63.44% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53) 19.71% (0.058 0.06) 16.85% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.865 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.01% (0.63 0.63)37.98% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.75% (0.66999999999999 0.67)60.25% (-0.67 -0.67)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.045999999999992 0.05)11.39% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (0.1 0.1)36.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22% (0.945 0.95)35.78% (-0.945 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (0.96 0.96)72.55% (-0.959 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 63.44%
    Norwich City 16.85%
    Draw 19.71%
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.78% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 2% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 63.44%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.125 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.71%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Leicester vs Norwich

Leicester City
54.4%
Draw
22.3%
Norwich City
23.3%
103
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Norwich
0-2
Leicester

Duffy (39'), Gibson (42'), Barnes (43')
Iheanacho (45' pen.), McAteer (87')
McAteer (35'), Vardy (70'), Winks (71'), Vestergaard (90')
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Leicester
3-0
Norwich
Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
1-2
Leicester
Pukki (44' pen.)
Lees-Melou (25'), Cantwell (82')
Vardy (8'), Albrighton (76')
Albrighton (69')
Feb 28, 2020 8pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley146621761124
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
6Millwall146441712522
7Watford147162222022
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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