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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
42.27% ( -0.02) | 27.99% ( -0.03) | 29.73% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.43% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.69% ( 0.13) | 59.31% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.29% ( 0.1) | 79.71% ( -0.1) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( 0.05) | 27.71% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( 0.06) | 63.28% ( -0.06) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.23% ( 0.11) | 35.77% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.45% ( 0.11) | 72.54% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 29.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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