MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 17:24:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

With both clubs going through a poor run of form, the stakes are high in this contest as they bid to stay in touch with the top six. Taking that into consideration, we feel that a low-scoring draw is most likely, one which will be deemed acceptable by both sets of supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
42.27% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 27.99% (-0.032 -0.03) 29.73% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.43% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69% (0.127 0.13)59.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1)79.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.046000000000006 0.05)27.71% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.060000000000002 0.06)63.28% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.11 0.11)35.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45% (0.112 0.11)72.54% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.27%
    Millwall 29.73%
    Draw 27.98%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
37.9%
Draw
30.5%
Millwall
31.6%
95
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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