Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.