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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Stoke City |
30.41% | 28.22% | 41.37% |
Both teams to score 46.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.12% | 59.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.86% | 80.14% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% | 35.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% | 72.33% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% | 28.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.74% | 64.26% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.04% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 12.72% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |