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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Middlesbrough logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Roberts (37')
Mejbri (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dijksteel (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough

Burnley will be full of confidence after winning each of their last four matches, while they also boast an unbeaten record at Turf Moor this season. With that in mind, the Clarets will be targeting all three points in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a point when they face a Middlesbrough side that will be in high spirits after winning four of their previous five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
31.45% (1.955 1.96) 24.91% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 43.64% (-1.929 -1.93)
Both teams to score 56.71% (1.123 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (1.003 1)46.44% (-1.002 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (0.936 0.94)68.72% (-0.935 -0.94)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (1.827 1.83)27.93% (-1.825 -1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (2.27 2.27)63.55% (-2.269 -2.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.446 -0.45)21.31% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.697 -0.7)54.26% (0.699 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 31.45%
    Middlesbrough 43.64%
    Draw 24.91%
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.337 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.527 -0.53)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.511 -0.51)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.055 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.64%

How you voted: Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Burnley
63.9%
Draw
23.0%
Middlesbrough
13.1%
122
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Akpom (48' pen.)
Barnes (12'), Roberts (66')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burnley
3-1
Middlesbrough
Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)
Watmore (49')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gray (80')
Boyd (21'), Mee (42'), Flanagan (54'), Ward (66'), Gray (73'), Hendrick (85')

de Roon (2'), Ramirez (31'), Barragan (45'), Da Silva (80'), Negredo (90')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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