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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Middlesbrough logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Roberts (37')
Mejbri (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dijksteel (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough

Burnley will be full of confidence after winning each of their last four matches, while they also boast an unbeaten record at Turf Moor this season. With that in mind, the Clarets will be targeting all three points in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a point when they face a Middlesbrough side that will be in high spirits after winning four of their previous five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
31.45% (1.955 1.96) 24.91% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 43.64% (-1.929 -1.93)
Both teams to score 56.71% (1.123 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (1.003 1)46.44% (-1.002 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (0.936 0.94)68.72% (-0.935 -0.94)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (1.827 1.83)27.93% (-1.825 -1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (2.27 2.27)63.55% (-2.269 -2.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.446 -0.45)21.31% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.697 -0.7)54.26% (0.699 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 31.45%
    Middlesbrough 43.64%
    Draw 24.91%
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.337 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.527 -0.53)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.511 -0.51)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.055 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.64%

How you voted: Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Burnley
63.9%
Draw
23.0%
Middlesbrough
13.1%
122
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Akpom (48' pen.)
Barnes (12'), Roberts (66')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burnley
3-1
Middlesbrough
Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)
Watmore (49')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gray (80')
Boyd (21'), Mee (42'), Flanagan (54'), Ward (66'), Gray (73'), Hendrick (85')

de Roon (2'), Ramirez (31'), Barragan (45'), Da Silva (80'), Negredo (90')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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