Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
5 - 1
Norwich

Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Sargent (45')
Sorensen (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Norwich City

Given the inconsistency of both teams, this is a difficult match to call, particularly with the increasing pressure for different reasons. Nevertheless, we have to give the edge to Boro, who will have regained some belief through battling back in their previous fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Norwich City
39.8% ( -0.02)	25.81%	34.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

49.56% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.41% (

71.59% (

-0.01)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

-0.01)

24.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97% (

-0.01)

59.03% (

0.01)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

0.01)

27.6% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

0.02)

63.13% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 39.8%

Norwich City 34.39%

Draw 25.81%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.8%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.39%