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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Piroe (15')
Latibeaudiere (58'), Darling (73'), Fulton (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Ramsey (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-0 Reading
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Middlesbrough

Martin knows that another win needs to be recorded sooner rather than later, and his team may relish the tag of underdogs for this contest. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough have been the clear stand-out team in front of goal since Carrick's appointment, and we expect that to continue on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
36.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.26% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.111 0.11)43.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.111 0.11)66.1% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.049999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (0.07 0.07)57.76% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.061999999999998 0.06)22.38% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.093999999999994 0.09)55.88% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Middlesbrough 38.94%
    Draw 24.57%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
9.4%
Draw
9.4%
Middlesbrough
81.3%
32
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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