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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Preston North End logo

Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Preston

Jones (16', 37'), van den Berg (26'), Bangura (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Potts (65'), Hughes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Preston North End

Both teams will be looking to produce a positive response following disappointing results at the weekend, but we think that it will be Middlesbrough who will come out on top after winning four of their last five home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
54.9% (-0.634 -0.63) 23.6% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 21.5% (0.611 0.61)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.795 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.625 0.63)48.36% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.568 0.57)70.5% (-0.566 -0.57)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)47.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11% (0.96599999999999 0.97)36.88% (-0.965 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (0.949 0.95)73.67% (-0.94799999999999 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 54.9%
    Preston North End 21.5%
    Draw 23.59%
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.9%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.129 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Preston

Middlesbrough
76.5%
Draw
14.7%
Preston North End
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Preston
2-1
Middlesbrough
Riis Jakobsen (35'), Storey (90+1')
Akpom (8')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
2-0
Preston
Storey (22' og.), Tavernier (51')
Fisher (66')

Potts (62')
Browne (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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