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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Deepdale
Leicester logo

Preston
0 - 3
Leicester


Browne (46'), Hughes (54'), Brady (62'), Holmes (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vardy (36', 52'), McAteer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-2 Leicester City

Given that Leicester were in celebratory on Friday night, it remains unclear how they will rock up for this contest. Although they will be eager to win the title, we do not expect them to perform to their absolute best, leading us to predict a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
29.22% (-2.882 -2.88) 23.67% (0.755 0.75) 47.1% (2.122 2.12)
Both teams to score 59.73% (-4.439 -4.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.128 -5.13)41.91% (5.123 5.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-5.361 -5.36)64.32% (5.356 5.36)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-4.311 -4.31)27.15% (4.305 4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-5.98 -5.98)62.54% (5.974 5.97)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-1.176 -1.18)18.01% (1.172 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (-2.052 -2.05)48.88% (2.047 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 29.22%
    Leicester City 47.1%
    Draw 23.67%
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.696 0.7)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.621 -0.62)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.257 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.81 0.81)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.547 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.043 1.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.428 -0.43)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.355 0.36)
0-1 @ 8.38% (1.529 1.53)
0-2 @ 7.18% (1.081 1.08)
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.48 0.48)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Preston vs Leicester

Preston North End
17.9%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leicester
3-0
Preston
Dewsbury-Hall (60', 90'), Iheanacho (76')

Woodburn (82'), Stewart (86')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Leicester
McCann (49')
Vardy (12'), Barnes (18')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-1
Leicester
Clarke (57')
Moore (25')
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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