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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Cardiff
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Siopis (5'), Daland (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (55'), Ramsey (82' og.)
Morris (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-3 Middlesbrough

On the back of a morale-boosting showing against Southampton, Cardiff will be optimistic about overcoming Boro on Saturday. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors will shake off their humbling in midweek and post a convincing victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
27.03% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.06% (0.00099999999999767 0) 48.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.71% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)66.57% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 27.03%
    Middlesbrough 48.91%
    Draw 24.06%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 48.91%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Cardiff City
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Middlesbrough
52.4%
42
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-4
Middlesbrough
Bowler (90+1')
Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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