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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Preston North End logo

Millwall
1 - 1
Preston

Flemming (5')
Honeyman (51'), Obafemi (90+1'), Flemming (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Potts (33')
Storey (56'), Ledson (70'), Woodman (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Preston North End

With both teams being consistently inconsistent, any result feels possible at The Den on Saturday. While the visitors would have taken confidence from their showing at Elland Road, we feel that Millwall will do enough to earn maximum points in a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawPreston North End
50.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 25.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)54.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)75.77% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)21.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.058 -0.06)54.94% (0.061 0.06)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)37.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.52% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 50.07%
    Preston North End 24.16%
    Draw 25.77%
MillwallDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 50.07%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.16%

How you voted: Millwall vs Preston

Millwall
64.3%
Draw
28.6%
Preston North End
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Preston
1-1
Millwall
Frokjaer-Jensen (3')
Holmes (19'), Cunningham (61'), Millar (73'), Lindsay (90+3')
Flemming (30')
Emakhu (66')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Millwall
2-0
Preston
Bradshaw (14'), Flemming (72')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Preston
2-4
Millwall
Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Preston
1-1
Millwall
Wallace (6' og.)
Wallace (22')
Kieftenbeld (31')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Millwall
0-0
Preston
Bennett (60'), Hutchinson (63'), Burey (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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