Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 2
Leicester

Dennis (63')
Porteous (75'), Hoedt (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Daka (11' pen.), Pereira (55')
Winks (37'), Nelson (45+5'), Vardy (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Watford
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-5 Leicester
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 1-3 Leicester City

Having being outclassed against the second-placed team in the division on Tuesday, Watford would ideally not want to be facing the leaders next. Although a competitive encounter could ensue, Leicester should have enough quality in the final third to come through with the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Watford	Draw	Leicester City
34.28% ( -0.01)	23.27% ( -0.02)	42.44% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 63.69% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.24% (

0.1)

37.76% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.99% (

0.11)

60% (

-0.11)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

0.05)

22.09% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.54% (

0.07)

55.45% (

-0.07)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75% (

0.05)

18.24% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.71% (

0.09)

49.29% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Watford 34.28%

Leicester City 42.44%

Draw 23.27%

Watford	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 34.28%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.44%