Watford1 - 2Leicester
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Watford 1-3 Leicester City
Having being outclassed against the second-placed team in the division on Tuesday, Watford would ideally not want to be facing the leaders next. Although a competitive encounter could ensue, Leicester should have enough quality in the final third to come through with the win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
34.28% ( -0.01) | 23.27% ( -0.02) | 42.44% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( 0.1) | 37.76% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( 0.11) | 60% ( -0.11) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0.05) | 22.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.54% ( 0.07) | 55.45% ( -0.07) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( 0.05) | 18.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.71% ( 0.09) | 49.29% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.44% |
