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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leicester logo

Watford
1 - 2
Leicester

Dennis (63')
Porteous (75'), Hoedt (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (11' pen.), Pereira (55')
Winks (37'), Nelson (45+5'), Vardy (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-3 Leicester City

Having being outclassed against the second-placed team in the division on Tuesday, Watford would ideally not want to be facing the leaders next. Although a competitive encounter could ensue, Leicester should have enough quality in the final third to come through with the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
WatfordDrawLeicester City
34.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.27% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 42.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.69% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (0.1 0.1)37.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (0.107 0.11)60% (-0.108 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.09% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.065999999999995 0.07)55.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)18.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (0.087000000000003 0.09)49.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.28%
    Leicester City 42.44%
    Draw 23.27%
WatfordDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.44%

How you voted: Watford vs Leicester

Watford
16.2%
Draw
13.2%
Leicester City
70.6%
68
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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