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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
2 - 0
Stoke

Louza (70'), Davis (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearson (51'), Tymon (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 QPR
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Stoke City

There should not be much between two sides who have underperformed this season in a game with nothing riding on it to finish the campaign. Watford's poor recent results at home may give Stoke belief that they can extend their away unbeaten run here, though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
36.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (0.013000000000005 0.01)53.85% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.31% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.019000000000005 0.02)64.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.38%
    Stoke City 36.73%
    Draw 26.87%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.38%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.73%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Stoke City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford

Fosu (14')
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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