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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stoke
4 - 1
Rotherham

Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Rotherham United

Stoke will be looking to make a statement at the beginning of their Championship campaign, and a home tie with Rotherham serves up a good opportunity to do so. The Millers might struggle to avoid the drop this term but will be hoping to catch the Potters cold on Saturday, although we believe the hosts will record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
45.39% (-2.679 -2.68) 27.6% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 27.01% (2.62 2.62)
Both teams to score 45.98% (1.857 1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.88% (1.338 1.34)59.12% (-1.338 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44% (1.023 1.02)79.56% (-1.023 -1.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)26% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)61.03% (0.967 0.97)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (3.075 3.08)37.86% (-3.076 -3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36% (2.865 2.87)74.63% (-2.865 -2.87)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 45.39%
    Rotherham United 27.01%
    Draw 27.59%
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.97 -0.97)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.852 -0.85)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.505 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.56% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.577 0.58)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.513 0.51)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.335 0.34)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 27.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Rotherham

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
15.9%
Rotherham United
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
1-0
Rotherham
McClean (27')
Fox (90+2')

MacDonald (41'), Smith (72')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
2-2
Rotherham
Vokes (27'), Clucas (29')
Vaulks (58'), Crooks (74')
Vaulks (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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