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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stoke
4 - 1
Rotherham

Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Rotherham United

Stoke will be looking to make a statement at the beginning of their Championship campaign, and a home tie with Rotherham serves up a good opportunity to do so. The Millers might struggle to avoid the drop this term but will be hoping to catch the Potters cold on Saturday, although we believe the hosts will record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
45.39% (-2.679 -2.68) 27.6% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 27.01% (2.62 2.62)
Both teams to score 45.98% (1.857 1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.88% (1.338 1.34)59.12% (-1.338 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44% (1.023 1.02)79.56% (-1.023 -1.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)26% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)61.03% (0.967 0.97)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (3.075 3.08)37.86% (-3.076 -3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36% (2.865 2.87)74.63% (-2.865 -2.87)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 45.39%
    Rotherham United 27.01%
    Draw 27.59%
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.97 -0.97)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.852 -0.85)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.505 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.56% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.577 0.58)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.513 0.51)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.335 0.34)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 27.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Rotherham

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
15.9%
Rotherham United
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
1-0
Rotherham
McClean (27')
Fox (90+2')

MacDonald (41'), Smith (72')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
2-2
Rotherham
Vokes (27'), Clucas (29')
Vaulks (58'), Crooks (74')
Vaulks (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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