Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
4 - 1
Rotherham

Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Rotherham United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Rotherham United

Stoke will be looking to make a statement at the beginning of their Championship campaign, and a home tie with Rotherham serves up a good opportunity to do so. The Millers might struggle to avoid the drop this term but will be hoping to catch the Potters cold on Saturday, although we believe the hosts will record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Rotherham United
45.39% ( -2.68)	27.6% ( 0.06)	27.01% ( 2.62)

Both teams to score 45.98% (

1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.88% (

1.34)

59.12% (

-1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.44% (

1.02)

79.56% (

-1.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

-0.71)

26% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

-0.97)

61.03% (

0.97)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.14% (

3.08)

37.86% (

-3.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36% (

2.87)

74.63% (

-2.87)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 45.39%

Rotherham United 27.01%

Draw 27.59%

Stoke City	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.97) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.85) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.39%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.66% Total : 27.01%