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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stoke
4 - 1
Rotherham

Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Rotherham United

Stoke will be looking to make a statement at the beginning of their Championship campaign, and a home tie with Rotherham serves up a good opportunity to do so. The Millers might struggle to avoid the drop this term but will be hoping to catch the Potters cold on Saturday, although we believe the hosts will record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
45.39% (-2.679 -2.68) 27.6% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 27.01% (2.62 2.62)
Both teams to score 45.98% (1.857 1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.88% (1.338 1.34)59.12% (-1.338 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44% (1.023 1.02)79.56% (-1.023 -1.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)26% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)61.03% (0.967 0.97)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (3.075 3.08)37.86% (-3.076 -3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36% (2.865 2.87)74.63% (-2.865 -2.87)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 45.39%
    Rotherham United 27.01%
    Draw 27.59%
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.97 -0.97)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.852 -0.85)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.505 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.56% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.577 0.58)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.513 0.51)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.335 0.34)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 27.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Rotherham

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
15.9%
Rotherham United
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
1-0
Rotherham
McClean (27')
Fox (90+2')

MacDonald (41'), Smith (72')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
2-2
Rotherham
Vokes (27'), Clucas (29')
Vaulks (58'), Crooks (74')
Vaulks (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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