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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stoke
4 - 1
Rotherham

Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Rotherham United

Stoke will be looking to make a statement at the beginning of their Championship campaign, and a home tie with Rotherham serves up a good opportunity to do so. The Millers might struggle to avoid the drop this term but will be hoping to catch the Potters cold on Saturday, although we believe the hosts will record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
45.39% (-2.679 -2.68) 27.6% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 27.01% (2.62 2.62)
Both teams to score 45.98% (1.857 1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.88% (1.338 1.34)59.12% (-1.338 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44% (1.023 1.02)79.56% (-1.023 -1.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)26% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)61.03% (0.967 0.97)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (3.075 3.08)37.86% (-3.076 -3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36% (2.865 2.87)74.63% (-2.865 -2.87)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 45.39%
    Rotherham United 27.01%
    Draw 27.59%
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.97 -0.97)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.852 -0.85)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.505 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.56% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.577 0.58)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.513 0.51)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.335 0.34)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 27.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Rotherham

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
15.9%
Rotherham United
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
1-0
Rotherham
McClean (27')
Fox (90+2')

MacDonald (41'), Smith (72')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
2-2
Rotherham
Vokes (27'), Clucas (29')
Vaulks (58'), Crooks (74')
Vaulks (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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