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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
36.31% | 26.89% | 36.8% |
Both teams to score 51.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.06% | 53.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.61% | 75.39% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% | 28.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% | 64.34% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% | 28.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% | 63.97% |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |