Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.