Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.