Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 2
Rotherham

Azaz (45+5' pen., 52'), Whittaker (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lindsay (16'), Eaves (77')
Ayala (25'), Odofin (36'), Nombe (45+3'), Lindsay (49'), Rathbone (90+2'), Johansson (90+3')
Ayala (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Rotherham United

After battling through 70 minutes with 10 players in the week against QPR, an 11-man Plymouth will be raring to rack up the goals against the division's bottom side at Home Park. Rotherham did not look like scoring on Tuesday night and considering their woeful record on the road, we cannot imagine a result for the Millers from their maiden away trip under Richardson. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Rotherham United
52.92% ( -0.04)	23.71% ( -0.05)	23.37% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

0.29)

46.81% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93% (

0.27)

69.07% (

-0.27)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

0.09)

17.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75% (

0.16)

48.25% (

-0.16)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

0.24)

34.27% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

0.25)

70.97% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 52.92%

Rotherham United 23.37%

Draw 23.71%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.92%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.71%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.37%