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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cardiff
2 - 2
Plymouth

Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

 Possessing an encouraging unbeaten run, Plymouth will fancy their chances of causing the upset at the Cardiff City Stadium. However, the Welsh giants have enough about them to stay in the playoff race if they win games such as this one, and we feel a late goal could prove decisive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
52.84% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 24.13% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 23.02% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.065000000000005 0.07)48.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.058 0.06)71.04% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.012999999999991 0.01)18.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.68% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.072999999999993 0.07)35.77% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (0.074999999999999 0.07)72.54% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 52.84%
    Plymouth Argyle 23.02%
    Draw 24.13%
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Plymouth

Cardiff City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Plymouth Argyle
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
Cardiff
1-0
Plymouth
Bothroyd (81')
Johnson (81')

Mackie (89')
Nov 22, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Cardiff
Mpenza (39'), Gallagher (41')
Summerfield (90')
Chopra (62')
Rae (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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