Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United |
42.21% ( -0.92) | 25.03% ( -0.04) | 32.76% ( 0.95) |
Both teams to score 56.84% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.5% ( 0.48) | 46.5% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.22% ( 0.45) | 68.78% ( -0.45) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% ( -0.23) | 22% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.69% ( -0.34) | 55.31% ( 0.34) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% ( 0.84) | 27.13% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% ( 1.08) | 62.52% ( -1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
> Championship Full Table |