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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Birmingham logo

Preston
0 - 1
Birmingham


Evans (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Preston North End 2-0 Birmingham City

With Birmingham making some eye-catching signings, they may eventually move themselves away from trouble. However, we cannot back against Preston, who we expect to claim a second win and eighth clean sheet in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
52.43% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 25.91% (-0.354 -0.35) 21.66% (0.408 0.41)
Both teams to score 45.6% (1.427 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (1.61 1.61)57.04% (-1.607 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (1.271 1.27)77.93% (-1.267 -1.27)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.65000000000001 0.65)21.84% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.98 0.98)55.06% (-0.978 -0.98)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (1.352 1.35)41.66% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86% (1.164 1.16)78.13% (-1.161 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 52.43%
    Birmingham City 21.66%
    Draw 25.91%
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.84% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-0 @ 10.53% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.135 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 52.43%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.574 -0.57)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.205 0.21)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.31% (0.169 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.66%

How you voted: Preston vs Birmingham

Preston North End
72.7%
Draw
27.3%
Birmingham City
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-0
Preston

Bela (45+1')

Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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