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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Leeds logo

Swansea
3 - 4
Leeds

Darling (8'), Cullen (45+3'), Bianchini (90')
Peart-Harris (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Solomon (20', 73'), Cabango (55' og.), Gnonto (90+1')
James (53'), Byram (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 QPR
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 0-1 Leeds United

Fresh off the back of an international break, Leeds should pose a serious threat on the road in South Wales and should have enough to earn a rare away victory. That being said, Swansea's defence has been one of the best in the Championship in recent times, so we are not expecting the hosts to be blown away on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLeeds United
30.59% (4.232 4.23) 26.47% (2.274 2.27) 42.94% (-6.505 -6.51)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-4.409 -4.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (-7.081 -7.08)53.31% (7.082 7.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (-6.333 -6.33)74.86% (6.335 6.33)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.521 -0.52)31.98% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.598 -0.6)68.44% (0.599 0.6)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-5.857 -5.86)24.61% (5.857 5.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (-8.97 -8.97)59.12% (8.97 8.97)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 30.59%
    Leeds United 42.94%
    Draw 26.47%
Swansea CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.97% (2.15 2.15)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.566 0.57)
2-0 @ 5.12% (1.17 1.17)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.423 0.42)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 12.58% (1.16 1.16)
0-0 @ 7.87% (1.971 1.97)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.5 -0.5)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 11.03% (1.156 1.16)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.739 -0.74)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.529 -0.53)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-1.212 -1.21)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.996 -1)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.734 -0.73)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.787 -0.79)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.662 -0.66)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Swansea vs Leeds

Swansea City
15.2%
Draw
18.5%
Leeds United
66.3%
92
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Swansea
0-4
Leeds

Wood (28'), Tymon (42'), Allen (68')
Summerville (8'), Piroe (10'), Gnonto (35', 72')
Piroe (65')
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
3-1
Swansea
Piroe (4'), Rutter (45+3'), James (61')
Paterson (1')
Lowe (73')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-1
Swansea

Alioski (21'), Phillips (95')
Routledge (90')
Fulton (78'), Byers (95')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Leeds
2-1
Swansea
Jansson (20'), Harrison (34')
Harrison (94')
McBurnie (87' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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