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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Deepdale
Leeds logo

Preston
2 - 1
Leeds

Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Preston
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Ipswich
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-4 Leeds United

While Preston may feel that they can play with a certain level of freedom on Boxing Day, that may not necessarily help them. Leeds appear to be building momentum, leading us to predict a comprehensive win for the Yorkshire giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
27.2% (-0.525 -0.53) 24.78% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 48.02% (0.598 0.6)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)70.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)31.82% (0.414 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (-0.477 -0.48)68.26% (0.47699999999999 0.48)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.244 0.24)20.1% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.391 0.39)52.35% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 27.2%
    Leeds United 48.02%
    Draw 24.78%
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.23% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.054 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 48.02%

How you voted: Preston vs Leeds

Preston North End
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Leeds United
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Preston
Cooper (37'), Roberts (74', 82')
Alioski (30')

Browne (26'), Johnson (52')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
0-2
Preston

Roberts (59'), Klich (72'), Dallas (90')
Johnson (2' pen.), Barker (45')
Fisher (66'), Moult (71'), Browne (87'), Harrop (89'), Davies (90')
Ledson (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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