Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, November 30 at 1.30pm in Championship
Saturday, November 30 at 1.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Sheff Weds
Sunday, December 1 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, December 1 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Leeds United 3-0 Derby County
With Leeds welcoming a newly-promoted side to Elland Road, this weekend's clash has all the hallmarks of a comfortable victory for Farke's troops. Due to the absence of midfield enforcer Adams, Derby are in serious risk of being overrun in the engine room, so we can only envisage a troubling afternoon for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Derby County |
70.37% ( -0.38) | 18.46% ( 0.38) | 11.17% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
