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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Preston

Stansfield (68')
Laird (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keane (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Rotherham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

With relegation becoming more of a possibility as the season progresses, Birmingham need a positive result to halt a worrying slide since the loss of Mowbray. Preston are aiming to string a couple of wins together in order to keep pace with the top six, but we feel that the Lilywhites will have to settle for a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.42% (-0.717 -0.72) 27.36% (0.34 0.34) 35.22% (0.385 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-1.024 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-1.304 -1.3)55.83% (1.311 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-1.073 -1.07)76.95% (1.08 1.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-1.044 -1.04)28.8% (1.051 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-1.321 -1.32)64.65% (1.329 1.33)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)30.14% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (-0.488 -0.49)66.29% (0.495 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.41%
    Preston North End 35.22%
    Draw 27.35%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Preston

Birmingham City
Draw
Preston North End
Birmingham City
23.9%
Draw
20.9%
Preston North End
55.2%
67
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Preston
2-1
Birmingham
Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')
Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
1-2
Preston
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
1-1
Birmingham
Bauer (31')
Whiteman (72')
Hogan (86')
Mengi (56')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
0-0
Preston
Bela (45+1')
Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley402315255124384
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd40267756302683
3Leeds UnitedLeeds402313479285182
4Sunderland402112757372075
5Middlesbrough401791461491260
6Bristol City401515105143860
7Coventry CityCoventry40178155753459
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom401318948361257
9Millwall401412143941-254
10Watford40158174853-553
11Norwich CityNorwich401313146256652
12Blackburn RoversBlackburn40157184243-152
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds401410165461-752
14Preston North EndPreston401018124047-748
15Swansea CitySwansea40139184151-1048
16Queens Park RangersQPR401113164553-846
17Portsmouth40129194863-1545
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd401112174157-1645
19Hull City401111184048-844
20Stoke CityStoke401013174153-1243
21Derby CountyDerby40118214252-1041
22Cardiff CityCardiff40914174363-2041
23Luton TownLuton40109213661-2539
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth40813194278-3637


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