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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Preston North End logo

Watford
0 - 0
Preston


Asprilla (51'), Chakvetadze (87')
FT

Lindsay (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Preston
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Preston North End

On the back of losing to Birmingham, Preston's belief may have been impacted in the short term, and facing an improving Watford side has come at the wrong time. We feel that the Hornets could do enough to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, helped by a fast start to the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawPreston North End
46.12% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 26.34% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.53% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.89% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (0.021999999999998 0.02)54.26% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)75.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)23.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)57.51% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2% (0.055999999999997 0.06)34.79% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (0.058999999999997 0.06)71.52% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 46.11%
    Preston North End 27.53%
    Draw 26.34%
WatfordDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.11%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: Watford vs Preston

Watford
35.7%
Draw
35.7%
Preston North End
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Preston
1-5
Watford
Keane (27')
Millar (41'), Whiteman (45+1'), Osmajic (90+1')
Issouf Bayo (42', 71'), Martins (46'), Kayembe (53'), Kone (77')
Lewis (85')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Preston
0-0
Watford
Brady (79'), Cunningham (90+3')
Manaj (37'), Cathcart (83')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Preston
0-1
Watford
Pedro (51' pen.)
Cleverley (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
4-1
Preston
Quina (9'), Deeney (52' pen.), Chalobah (58'), Pedro (74')
Garner (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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