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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Norwich logo

Preston
0 - 1
Norwich


Whatmough (35'), Storey (72'), Brady (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sara (86')
Sainz (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Norwich City

On the back of blowing a lead against Sheffield Wednesday, Norwich's confidence has no doubt taken a knock. Nevertheless, we are backing the Canaries to bounce back with their most important win of the season, one that could prove pivotal in the playoff race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawNorwich City
46.57% (-0.226 -0.23) 23.59% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 29.84% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 60.44% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (-0.223 -0.22)41.15% (0.22 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-0.227 -0.23)63.55% (0.225 0.23)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)17.92% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-0.305 -0.31)48.73% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)61.5% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 46.57%
    Norwich City 29.84%
    Draw 23.58%
Preston North EndDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.84%

How you voted: Preston vs Norwich

Preston North End
21.9%
Draw
28.1%
Norwich City
50.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Norwich
0-0
Preston
Evans (76'), Storey (79')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
0-4
Norwich
Pukki (13', 69'), Dowell (16', 28')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Norwich
2-3
Preston
Sargent (2'), Sara (76')
Riis Jakobsen (25', 51'), Parrott (80')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Preston
1-1
Norwich
Potts (90+4')
Ledson (9')
Buendia (17')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Norwich
2-2
Preston
Pukki (31'), Placheta (85')
Quintilla (47')
Sinclair (14' pen.), Fisher (42')
Fisher (34'), Sinclair (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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