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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Norwich City |
46.57% ( -0.23) | 23.59% ( 0.06) | 29.84% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 60.44% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% ( -0.22) | 41.15% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( -0.23) | 63.55% ( 0.23) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( -0.18) | 17.92% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% ( -0.31) | 48.73% ( 0.3) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( -0.01) | 26.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( -0.01) | 61.5% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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