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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Oxford United

Preston
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Keane (70')
Lindsay (20'), Storey (63'), Whiteman (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (21')
Long (32'), Cumming (60'), Dembele (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Preston
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, January 1 at 1pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-2 Oxford United

It is difficult to overlook Oxford's good form of late under Rowett, and they should arguably come into Saturday's clash as favourites. However, Preston have been resilient at home despite some of their struggles this season, and they will no doubt use the home crowd to their advantage and cause Oxford problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawOxford United
46.1% (0.121 0.12) 27.27% (-0.224 -0.22) 26.63% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.63% (0.683 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (0.838 0.84)58.16% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (0.653 0.65)78.82% (-0.654 -0.65)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (0.43900000000001 0.44)25.21% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (0.602 0.6)59.95% (-0.604 -0.6)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (0.54799999999999 0.55)37.65% (-0.55 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (0.532 0.53)74.43% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 46.1%
    Oxford United 26.63%
    Draw 27.26%
Preston North EndDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.08% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Preston vs Oxford Utd

Preston North End
43.9%
Draw
34.1%
Oxford United
22.0%
41
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Oxford Utd
3-1
Preston
Harris (20'), Goodrham (54'), Leigh (71')
Rodrigues (45+3'), McCann (90+6')
Riis Jakobsen (3')
Greenwood (22'), Lindsay (52'), Brady (76')
Lindsay (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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