Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
28.65% ( -0.03) | 23.84% ( -0.01) | 47.52% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.75% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% ( 0.04) | 43.02% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% ( 0.05) | 65.42% ( -0.05) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( 0) | 28.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( 0.01) | 63.77% ( -0.01) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( 0.03) | 18.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% ( 0.05) | 49.34% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 47.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |