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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Derby logo

Sheff Utd
1 - 0
Derby

Hamer (53')
Souza (38'), Ahmedhodzic (56'), Moore (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Warne (0'), Cashin (50'), Elder (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Derby County

Derby County certainly have cause for optimism following their start to the campaign and back-to-back wins, but they face a stern test away at a Sheffield United side who have quickly found their groove at both ends of the pitch. With home advantage and momentum building, we see the Blades having too much quality on Saturday and taking another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
28.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 23.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 47.52% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.75% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.043999999999997 0.04)43.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.045000000000002 0.05)65.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)63.77% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (0.053999999999995 0.05)49.34% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 28.65%
    Derby County 47.52%
    Draw 23.84%
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 47.52%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Derby

Sheffield United
62.1%
Draw
19.7%
Derby County
18.2%
66
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
1-3
Sheff Utd
Smith (59')
Ben Slimane (17'), Baldock (83'), Ndiaye (85')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Derby
2-0
Sheff Utd
Lawrence (69', 78')
Lawrence (78')

Ndiaye (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sheff Utd
1-0
Derby
Sharp (90' pen.)
Gibbs-White (24')

Shinnie (24')
Roos (57')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Sheff Utd
2-1
Derby
Freeman (53'), Sharp (76')
Osborn (43'), Fleck (74'), Freeman (83'), Robinson (90+3')
Sibley (44')
Sep 1, 2020 5pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Derby
0-2
Sheff Utd
Osborn (38'), Sharp (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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