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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield United in this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
44.97% | 28.23% | 26.8% |
Both teams to score 44.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.68% | 61.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.77% | 81.23% |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% | 27.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% | 62.66% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.74% | 39.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% | 75.96% |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 13.9% 2-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.46% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.79% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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