Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
2 - 0
Stoke

Bartley (39'), Thomas-Asante (50')
Townsend (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thompson (24'), Delap (47'), Brown (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-1 West Brom
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Stoke City

West Brom endured a terrible start to the season with the only way being upwards for Corberan after inheriting a squad that is way too good for a relegation fight in the Championship. Stoke recorded a solid win in midweek against Luton but their inconsistency could strike again as they face a Baggies side who are growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Stoke City
51.72% ( 0.51)	25.63% ( 0)	22.64% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.84% (

-0.45)

55.16% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.6% (

-0.37)

76.4% (

0.37)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

0.03)

21.36% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.66% (

0.05)

54.34% (

-0.05)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4% (

-0.74)

39.6% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72% (

-0.69)

76.28% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 51.71%

Stoke City 22.64%

Draw 25.63%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.71%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.64%