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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Stoke

Doak (34'), Hackney (73')
Edmundson (43'), Hackney (45+1'), Doak (56'), Azaz (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (11'), Manhoef (27'), Wilmot (39'), Cannon (42'), Tchamadeu (59'), Gallagher (69'), Rose (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

The travelling fans will be hoping that their side can start this game much better than they finished the last one. Nevertheless, though, we are backing Boro to come through with the three points, gaining revenge for the hammering that they took from the Potters last month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
45.99% (0.589 0.59) 25.09% (-0.157 -0.16) 28.91% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 54.7% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (0.439 0.44)48.43% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.4 0.4)70.56% (-0.398 -0.4)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.444 0.44)21.08% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.686 0.69)53.9% (-0.685 -0.69)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)30.68% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.101 -0.1)66.93% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 45.99%
    Stoke City 28.91%
    Draw 25.09%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
13.9%
Stoke City
19.4%
36
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.15pm
Second Round
Middlesbrough
0-5
Stoke
Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')
McCabe (77')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Middlesbrough
Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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