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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Stoke

Doak (34'), Hackney (73')
Edmundson (43'), Hackney (45+1'), Doak (56'), Azaz (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (11'), Manhoef (27'), Wilmot (39'), Cannon (42'), Tchamadeu (59'), Gallagher (69'), Rose (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

The travelling fans will be hoping that their side can start this game much better than they finished the last one. Nevertheless, though, we are backing Boro to come through with the three points, gaining revenge for the hammering that they took from the Potters last month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
45.99% (0.589 0.59) 25.09% (-0.157 -0.16) 28.91% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 54.7% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (0.439 0.44)48.43% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.4 0.4)70.56% (-0.398 -0.4)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.444 0.44)21.08% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.686 0.69)53.9% (-0.685 -0.69)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)30.68% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.101 -0.1)66.93% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 45.99%
    Stoke City 28.91%
    Draw 25.09%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
13.9%
Stoke City
19.4%
36
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.15pm
Second Round
Middlesbrough
0-5
Stoke
Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')
McCabe (77')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Middlesbrough
Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


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