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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Stoke


McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke City

While Stoke deserve credit for their last two victories, facing the in-form team in the division on away territory is a different level of task. We expect Boro to continue on their way, recording another win that could see them move into the top six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
48.68% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.67% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.052 -0.05)42.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)65.21% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)17.74% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)64.5% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.68%
    Stoke City 27.67%
    Draw 23.64%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
76.2%
Draw
14.3%
Stoke City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
0-0
Middlesbrough
Batth (35'), Smith (72')
Dijksteel (10')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-0
Stoke
Hall (21'), McNair (40'), Mendez-Laing (88')

Powell (23')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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