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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Stoke


McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke City

While Stoke deserve credit for their last two victories, facing the in-form team in the division on away territory is a different level of task. We expect Boro to continue on their way, recording another win that could see them move into the top six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
48.68% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.67% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.052 -0.05)42.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)65.21% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)17.74% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)64.5% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.68%
    Stoke City 27.67%
    Draw 23.64%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
76.2%
Draw
14.3%
Stoke City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
0-0
Middlesbrough
Batth (35'), Smith (72')
Dijksteel (10')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-0
Stoke
Hall (21'), McNair (40'), Mendez-Laing (88')

Powell (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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