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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Norwich logo

Stoke
0 - 3
Norwich


Campbell (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sargent (24'), Sara (28'), Barnes (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Norwich City

Although there is a wide margin between these two sides in the table, Stoke's win last weekend goes some way to levelling the playing field. With that in mind, do not be surprised if a competitive low-scoring draw is played out, one that suits Stoke more than Norwich. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
44.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.26% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.57% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.44%
    Norwich City 30.3%
    Draw 25.26%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Norwich

Stoke City
28.9%
Draw
26.3%
Norwich City
44.7%
38
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Stoke
Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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