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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
44.44% ( 0.02) | 25.26% ( 0) | 30.3% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.56% ( -0.01) | 48.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.43% ( -0.01) | 70.57% ( 0.01) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% ( 0) | 21.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.01% ( 0) | 54.99% ( -0) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( -0.01) | 29.7% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.24% ( -0.02) | 65.76% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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