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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Sunderland |
31.5% ( -4.89) | 26.42% ( 0.12) | 42.08% ( 4.78) |
Both teams to score 51.81% ( -1.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.19% ( -1.34) | 52.8% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% ( -1.15) | 74.43% ( 1.16) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( -3.77) | 31.08% ( 3.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( -4.64) | 67.4% ( 4.64) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% ( 1.96) | 24.83% ( -1.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.58% ( 2.66) | 59.41% ( -2.66) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.78) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.89) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.5% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 1.11) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 1.14) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.45) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.69) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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