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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sunderland

Stoke
1 - 0
Sunderland

Cannon (90+2')
Phillips (16'), Gooch (21'), Moran (27'), Johansson (43'), Cannon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cirkin (51'), Bellingham (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Leeds
Thursday, December 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Sunderland
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Sunderland

Sunderland's mixed record away from home suggests that they could encounter difficulties on Sunday, but it is difficult to see them dropping points against an under pressure Stoke City side. The hosts are in poor form and while they might at times pose a challenge to the visitors, they are unlikely to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
31.5% (-4.891 -4.89) 26.42% (0.118 0.12) 42.08% (4.776 4.78)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-1.408 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-1.34 -1.34)52.8% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-1.154 -1.15)74.43% (1.157 1.16)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-3.767 -3.77)31.08% (3.769 3.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-4.642 -4.64)67.4% (4.644 4.64)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (1.961 1.96)24.83% (-1.959 -1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (2.656 2.66)59.41% (-2.656 -2.66)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 31.5%
    Sunderland 42.08%
    Draw 26.42%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.478 -0.48)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.776 -0.78)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.893 -0.89)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.652 -0.65)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.613 -0.61)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.321 -0.32)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.5%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.75% (1.113 1.11)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.514 0.51)
0-2 @ 7.49% (1.142 1.14)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.448 0.45)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.691 0.69)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.225 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.294 0.29)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.08%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sunderland

Stoke City
23.4%
Draw
15.6%
Sunderland
60.9%
64
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sunderland
2-1
Stoke
Watson (7', 86')
Koumas (6')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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