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Championship header 2

Championship
Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Derby logo

Sunderland
2 - 0
Derby

Bellingham (40'), Isidor (55')
Cirkin (25'), Mepham (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harness (36'), Goudmijn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Derby County

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-0 Derby County

 Sunderland will be determined to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, and we can see the Black Cats shading a close game on Tuesday night, with the winner potentially coming in the latter stages of the fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawDerby County
43.22% (0.0040000000000049 0) 25.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.26%
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)71.23% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)22.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.31% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.41% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.014000000000003 0.01)65.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 43.22%
    Derby County 31.26%
    Draw 25.51%
SunderlandDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.22%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Derby

Sunderland
84.6%
Draw
9.0%
Derby County
6.4%
78
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
1-4
Sunderland
Vydra (42')
Vydra (84'), Johnson (90')
Honeyman (10'), Fletcher (36'), McGeady (50' pen.), O'Shea (77')
Kone (59'), Love (63'), Cattermole (67'), O'Shea (72')
> Match Report
Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm
Sunderland
1-1
Derby
Grabban (42' pen.)
Vaughan (89')
Johnson (11')
> Match Report
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Derby
0-0
Sunderland
Miller (6'), McEveley (36'), Lewis (54'), Moore (64'), Villa (73')
Chopra (75')
Dec 1, 2007 3pm
Sunderland
1-0
Derby
Stokes (90')
Stokes (90')

McEveley (60')
Feb 24, 2007 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Derby
Miller (90'), Connolly (27' pen.)
Connolly (67'), Collins (77')

McEveley (20'), Edworthy (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145
> Championship Full Table


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