Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
We said: Sunderland 1-0 Derby County
Sunderland will be determined to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, and we can see the Black Cats shading a close game on Tuesday night, with the winner potentially coming in the latter stages of the fixture.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.22% . A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%) . The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result Sunderland Draw Derby County 43.22% ( 0) 25.52% ( -0.01) 31.26%
Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.02)
50.83% ( 0.02) 49.16% ( -0.02)
28.76% ( 0.02) 71.23% ( -0.02)
77.33% ( 0.01) 22.67% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.69% ( 0.02) 56.31% ( -0.02)
70.59% ( 0.01) 29.41% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.59% ( 0.01) 65.4% ( -0.02)
Sunderland 43.22%
Derby County 31.26%
Draw 25.51%
Sunderland Draw Derby County 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.22% 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.26%
How you voted: Sunderland vs Derby
Sunderland
Draw
Derby County
78
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
Spain secure quarter-final spot in Nations League with dominant Serbia victory
2
Real Madrid 'working quietly' to sign £125m Man City, Arsenal, Liverpool target
3
Real Madrid vs. Celtic Women - prediction, team news, lineups
4
Tuesday's Nations League predictions including Scotland vs. Portugal
5
Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham learn Bynoe-Gittens asking price?
6
Wolfsburg vs. Lyon - prediction, team news, lineups
7
FC Twente Women vs. Chelsea - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Boss defends Aston Martin's cautious F1 junior strategy
9
Mbappe 'deemed reasonable suspect in rape investigation', entourage slam "rumour"
10
Barcelona keen to sign Arsenal midfielder next summer?
Trending Rugby Union Stories
Preview: Argentina vs. South Africa - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Australia vs. New Zealand - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Argentina vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: South Africa vs. New Zealand - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Argentina vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups