MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:17:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Derby logo

Sunderland
2 - 0
Derby

Bellingham (40'), Isidor (55')
Cirkin (25'), Mepham (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harness (36'), Goudmijn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-0 Derby County

Sunderland will be determined to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, and we can see the Black Cats shading a close game on Tuesday night, with the winner potentially coming in the latter stages of the fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawDerby County
43.22% (0.0040000000000049 0) 25.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.26%
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)71.23% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)22.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.31% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.41% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.014000000000003 0.01)65.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 43.22%
    Derby County 31.26%
    Draw 25.51%
SunderlandDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.22%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Derby

Sunderland
84.6%
Draw
9.0%
Derby County
6.4%
78
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
1-4
Sunderland
Vydra (42')
Vydra (84'), Johnson (90')
Honeyman (10'), Fletcher (36'), McGeady (50' pen.), O'Shea (77')
Kone (59'), Love (63'), Cattermole (67'), O'Shea (72')
Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Derby
0-0
Sunderland
Miller (6'), McEveley (36'), Lewis (54'), Moore (64'), Villa (73')
Chopra (75')
Dec 1, 2007 3pm
Feb 24, 2007 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Derby
Miller (90'), Connolly (27' pen.)
Connolly (67'), Collins (77')

McEveley (20'), Edworthy (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!