Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Liberty Stadium

Swansea
3 - 1
Coventry

Paterson (12'), Obafemi (40', 48')
Naughton (17'), Cabango (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hamer (84')
Bidwell (8'), Clarke-Salter (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Stoke City	46	5	62
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61
16	Blackpool	46	-4	60

Coventry City

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Queens Park Rangers	46	1	66
12	Coventry City	46	1	64
13	Preston North End	46	-4	64

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Coventry City

Both of these clubs have been hard to predict in recent weeks and although Coventry are in slightly better form, we think that they will be held to a draw on the road by a Swansea side who are strong at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Coventry City
43.75%	26.42%	29.83%

Both teams to score 51.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56%

53.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03%

74.97%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73%

24.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.36%

58.64%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41%

32.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.86%

69.14%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 43.75%

Coventry City 29.83%

Draw 26.42%

Swansea City	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.75%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.83%