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Chapecoense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Aug 17, 2021 at 12am UK
Arena Conda
America Mineiro

Chapecoense
1 - 1
America Mineiro

Leite (87')
Kadu (21')
Kadu (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodolfo (90+3')
Ruschel (17')

Preview: Chapecoense vs. America Mineiro - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Chapecoense and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chapecoense will hope to earn their first victory in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A this season when they host America Mineiro on Monday from Arena Conda.

Verdao are dead last in the table after losing their seventh consecutive fixture last week, while Coelho ended a five-game winless streak with a 1-0 win over Fluminense.


Match preview

Chapecoense manager Jair Ventura on June 6, 2021© Reuters

No matter how hard they try or how well they play, it seems the result is always the same for Chapecoense, who have only four points after 15 games in this domestic campaign.

This was not what Chape had hoped for after finishing first in the second tier of Brazilian football last year, and they have a long way to go to try and get themselves out of their current predicament, currently 11 points behind Sao Paulo and a return ticket into the Brasileiro Serie A next season.

After a tough start to the year, where they lost their opening two fixtures by a combined score of 6-1, Jair Ventura has seen his team compete hard but fail to muster enough offence to climb out of the Serie A basement.

Last week, for the fifth time this season, they drew first blood but failed to sustain their early momentum, falling 2-1 to Gremio, who were just above them in the standings.

They have only earned one point when scoring the opening goal this year and have been shut out in three of their last four home fixtures.

It is difficult to pinpoint one area that needs fixing on this team, but lately, they are not testing opposing keepers enough, with only two shots on target in two of their last three games and firing only 13 shots total in those two matches.

America Mineiro have been flirting with disaster for a while now, near the bottom of the table, and their poor play is starting to come back to haunt them.

More often than not, Vagner Mancini has seen his side lack drive and determination through a 90-minute game, while failing to create enough quality scoring opportunities.

Last month they failed to fire more than three shots on target in three consecutive matches, all three of which were losses in games where they also failed to score.

They got back on track last Sunday, blanking Fluminense for their first victory since July 3 as they are now only one point out of the relegation zone.

This is their first campaign in the Brasileiro Serie A since 2018, and if they want to remain in the top flight, they need to start winning, particularly on the road where they have only won once all season.

America have scored the same amount of goals as Chape but have done a better job of limiting the damage against them, allowing a goal or fewer in four successive league matches.

Chapecoense Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

America Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Verdao goalkeeper Vagner has a ruptured knee ligament, while left winger Kaio has been out since August of last year due to inflammation of the biceps.

Anselmo Ramon scored his second goal of the season last week in a losing effort, putting him even for the team lead with Pedro Perotti, Geuvanio and Ignacio.

There were three changes made to the starting lineup from their defeat to Santos to their last match against Gremio with Geuvanio starting in attack instead of Fernandinho, Denner started in midfield rather than Fabinho and Mike got the start over Felipe.

America Mineiro are without striker Leo Passos, who has not seen the field since sustaining a muscle injury in early June.

Ademir scored the winning goal in their victory over Flu, his second of the season, moving him even with Juninho and Ribamar for the team lead.

Patric played as a right back in their last game after being in midfield for their previous one, Joao Paulo started in the other full-back position with Ale in midfield and Chrigor playing just in behind Fabricio.

Chapecoense possible starting lineup:
Paulo; Busanello, Derlan, Kadu, Ribeiro; Denner, Gomes, Leite, Ravanelli; Perotti, Ramon

America Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Cavichioli; Patric, Bauermann, Silva, Anderson; Ale, Juninho; Ademir, Rodolfo, Toscano; Fabircio


SM words green background

We say: Chapecoense 1-0 America Mineiro

Chape have lost their last six matches by a single goal and are due to get a break, and this could be the game they get it, as Coelho have struggled away from home this year and are just as bad in front of goal as Verdao.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Chapecoense vs America Mineiro

Chapecoense
41.2%
Draw
29.4%
America Mineiro
29.4%
17
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