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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10
Jul 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Qinhuangdao Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Hebei
0 - 1
Guangzhou


Zhang (12')
Zhang (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yang (38')
Huang (73')
Asqer (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Hebei and Guangzhou, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hebei

Last Six:
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-0 Hebei
Thursday, July 7 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Guangzhou

Last Six:
Last Game: Guangzhou 0-1 Shanghai Port
Friday, July 8 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Hebei 1-1 Guangzhou

 Neither team is particularly brimming with confidence ahead of this one, and we anticipate a tight encounter with little goalmouth action resulting in a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Hebei win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guangzhou in this match.

Result
HebeiDrawGuangzhou
28.75% (-0.25 -0.25) 26.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 44.85% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (0.046000000000006 0.05)53.86% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)75.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-0.166 -0.17)33.62% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (-0.181 -0.18)70.27% (0.18600000000001 0.19)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.166 0.17)23.92% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (0.232 0.23)58.13% (-0.227 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hebei 28.75%
    Guangzhou 44.84%
    Draw 26.4%
HebeiDrawGuangzhou
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.75%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.23% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 44.84%

How you voted: Hebei vs Guangzhou

Hebei
33.3%
Draw
26.7%
Guangzhou
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30pm
Guangzhou
1-0
Hebei
Yang (67')
Asqer (22'), Chen (35'), Huang (61'), Browning (90+3')
Asqer (69')

Zhang (20'), Bao (43')
Zhang (48')
Dec 29, 2021 10am
Hebei
0-2
Guangzhou

Memisevic (36')
Ling (12'), Tan (75')
Xiuwei (24'), Shihao (31'), Ling (41')
Dec 16, 2021 10am
Guangzhou
1-1
Hebei
Shihao (49')
Zhi (33'), Chao (34'), Wu (62')
Zhang (81')
Hu (90+4')
Oct 21, 2020 12.35pm
Guangzhou
5-0
Hebei
Talisca (27', 62'), Fernandinho (36', 56'), Paulinho (81')
Linpeng (11')

Ximing (40')
Oct 16, 2020 12.35pm
Hebei
1-3
Guangzhou
Hongbo (38')
Zhang (35'), Bao (52'), Memisevic (78')
Wu (65'), Elkeson (87' pen.), Shihao (90+1')
Xin (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port27233189276272
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua27224167165170
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu27174660273355
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan27147655332249
5Shandong TaishanShandong2711884035541
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen27116104238439
7HenanHenan2797113236-434
8Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang27103144855-733
9Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT2787123038-831
10Qingdao Youth Island2777133752-1528
11Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou2777133355-2228
12Changchun YataiChangchun2776144056-1627
13Qingdao Hainiu2775152748-2126
14Sichuan JiuniuSichuan2766152552-2724
15Meizhou Hakka2758142753-2623
16Nantong Zhiyun2756163061-3121
> Chinese Super League Full Table


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